The Florida Keys (Monroe County)
What makes the Keys an interesting case for study?
- Q1: Is an outbreak starting?
- Q2: How dangerous is it now?
- Q3: Can the Keys "beat" coronavirus?
Q1: Is an outbreak starting?
Daily change in new cases (averaged over week):
Q2: How dangerous is it now?
The following numbers evaluate “danger #2” in this split of covid danger.
For context, about one death per week is the rate of pneumonia/flu deaths in the Keys (based on Florida rates).
Covid deaths * per week:
See a historical perspective for a broad context.
* What is counted as a death from COVID-19?
Q3: Can the Keys “beat” coronavirus?
Weekly covid deaths * per million of “winning” counties
2% and 1% of Keys cases per million:
New cases per week:
New cases per day:
County population = 74,228
Tuberculosis (TB) in the Keys:
- 4 latent TB cases in 2018
- 2.4 latent TB cases a year on average from 2014-2018
- ~10% of latent TB cases move to (contagious) active TB
- ~50% of active TB patients die